5 Feb, 2023
GeoPolitical Futures title: On the Leaks of a War With China By: George Friedman Date: 31 January 2023 “Over the past few days, two senior U.S. officials – Gen. Mike Minihan, the head of the U.S. Air Force Mobility Command, and Michael McCaul, the chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee – predicted that a war with China could erupt by 2025. I have been on...
15 Jan, 2023
GeoPolitical Futures: China and the Philippines By: George Friedman (eg, Wiki)Date: 10 January 2023 "Last week, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited President Xi Jinping in China, where they agreed to cooperate in peace and security operations and in developing gas and oil deposits in the South China Sea. On the surface, this seems like a routine...
12 Jan, 2023
While British politics is still pro-Brexit, a majority of British voters now regret Brexit (eg, the Times). German politics is now open to seize Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine (eg, Bloomberg). China's political slogan of common prosperity is often nicknamed as common poverty due to its loss of wealth. Russian billionaires are dropping dead, like overheated...
8 Jan, 2023
GeoPolitical Futures title: The State of Play in Ukraine By: George Friedman (eg, Wiki) Date: 27 December 2022 "The war in Ukraine seems permanent. Neither side appears capable of destroying the opposing force or articulating what it would take to reach a peace agreement. The Russians are speaking to Belarus, India and anyone else they might find, but no one can...
16 Dec, 2022
Early December 2022, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. or TSMC announced to increase its investment in an American Arizona plant from US$ 12 billion to US$ 40 billion (eg, Market Watch, Reuters, TSMC), "one of the largest foreign direct investments in the history of the United States." While this story is a success for American reshoring efforts, it will also...
11 Dec, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: Peace Accords By: George Friedman Date: 6 December 2022 "Russia has accepted Washington’s invitation to engage in peace talks over the war in Ukraine. Both, of course, have reservations. Russia’s is that it needs to continue to hold territory in Ukraine, America’s is that it needs to make sure Russia surrenders its territory in Ukraine....
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