GeoPolitical Futures title: How the Ukraine War May End By: George Friedman Date: 10 May 2022 “Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. That’s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted for three years, World War II for six. The Arab-Israeli wars, on the other hand, took only a matter a matter of days. A variety of factors...
14 May, 2022
Bloomberg title: Germany Is Rising Above History to Support Ukraine Bloomberg subtitle: Despite the constraints imposed by Germany’s past, geography and politics, Chancellor Olaf Scholz has made clear that he and the country stand firmly against Russian aggression. Opinion by: Leonid Bershidsky Date: 12 May 2022 "Compared with the vocal and lavish...
12 May, 2022
The European Commission and others are complaining about Apple's market dominance (eg, WSJ). They must be joking. Google (eg, Android) has a c.70% market share for smartphone software, while Apple has only c.25%. Samsung is the dominant hardware supplier using Android software (eg. Statista). People buy Apple products despite its higher prices. Apple's closed...
11 May, 2022
The US Supreme Court is about to rule on the federal right of abortion. Some US states are already preluding on its verdict and are only allowing abortion for early pregnancies (ie, less than 15 weeks). Should individual ethical issues even be governed by national laws? The Netherlands (my country) does not have a legal right on this ethical issue. In principle,...
8 May, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: The Beginning of a New Era By: George Friedman Date: 3 May 2022 “A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200 years. In the last century, these shifts took place roughly 30-40 years apart with the last occurring in 1991, or about 30 years ago. That year,...
4 May, 2022
Early 2022, China urged the West not to raise interest levels as countries (read: China) were still recovering from Covid-19 (eg, Barron's, CNN). Since March, the Fed has warned markets that it may raise US interest by even 0.5%. The impact is clear: money is fleeing China. Euro, Pound and Yen are near historic lows. The Fed does not have much choice as inflation in...
- What is the “Great Replacement” right-wing conspiracy theory? (the Economist)
- Democracy might be in crisis. But Autocracy certainly is (FT)
- “I just don’t care anymore.”
- “Solitude has always been my analgesic of choice.”
- Love, Knowledge & Power and zero-sum
- The final taboo
- “Without love, life has no meaning”
- How the Ukraine War May End (GPF)
- Germany Is Rising Above History to Support Ukraine (Bloomberg)
- Pushing boundaries