9 Sep, 2024
In a recent NYT article, Professor Allan Lichtman (b.1947), the “Prophet of Presidential Elections” since 1984, gave his prediction for 5 November 2024. I agree with his prediction and actually felt the same, early last week. I declined writing my prediction as it was based on emotions rather than ratio. ”The model uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the...
29 Jul, 2024
Several articles have claimed that VP Kamala Harris is ruthless (eg, Politico-2019, Nieuwsblad, de Standaard). That characteristic in her attitude, behaviour, and/or personality is rather rare for women. For men, like Donald Trump, such a feature (often) appears “acceptable”. If both Harris and Trump would be ruthless then who would win? In my view, voters are more...
25 Jul, 2024
Finally, Joe Biden has understood that he is overstaying his welcome. Donald Trump will be angry and terrified because he will be neither the youngest, nor the least senile. In the 2013 words of Pope Benedict (1927-2022): "in today's world, subject to so many rapid changes...both strength of mind and body are necessary, strength which in the last few months, has...
23 Jul, 2024
Recently, the Dutch FT published an article with an intriguing title: The Republicans say goodbye to Big Money (HFD, translation by LO). The FT published a similar title that day: Donald Trump pledges tax cuts, trade wars and border crackdown. Actually, this development is visible in China, Europe, and USA. It might be the greatest danger for nationalism. In my...
9 Jul, 2024
The incompetence of UK Conservatives (a.k.a. Tories) has been severely penalised after their chaotic reign of 14 years (2010-2024). However, incompetence seems to be a British rather than a Tory attitude. Hence, the question in my blog title. Also see my related blogs on (legendary) British incompetence: 2018: Why the UK excels at mismanaging expectations (FT);...
3 Jul, 2024
Most articles claim that Donald Trump has won following the recent SCOTUS verdict about (near) absolute immunity for (former) US presidents. That would only be true if Joe Biden would not use this verdict to his advantage. SCOTUS has also given Joe Biden a near absolute immunity. Interestingly, a dissent SCOTUS opinion may also be read as a very implicit advice to...
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