20 Nov, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: The Future of US-China Relations By: George Friedman Date: 15 November 2022 "Earlier this week, the G-20 summit opened in Indonesia, during which the long-awaited meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping took place. That they met at all means the meeting was a success. That it was three hours long is...
13 Nov, 2022
GeoPolitical futures title: Negotiations By: George Friedman Date: 8 November 2022 “The United States has asked Ukraine to be open to negotiations with Russia, according to a report that was likely carefully leaked by U.S. officials. Since no one in the U.S. administration is denying the report, it’s meant to be taken seriously by the Ukrainians. (Considering that...
25 Oct, 2022
I've never written about opportunism, despite mentioning it (eg, my blogs of 2022 and 2016). Opportunism may well explain the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. However, the Russian analysis of (mutual) Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (ie, SWOT) clearly failed (badly). My August blog, Calculating women vs opportunistic men, suggests that opportunism...
24 Oct, 2022
The Universe has a simple cycle of Change: action, reaction. Essentially, this is also Isaac Newton's third Law of Motion: for every action (force) in nature there is an equal and opposite reaction (eg, NASA, Wiki). The human cycle of Change has an additional element: acceptance. The default human cycle of Change follows nature's default: deeds (ie, actions),...
23 Oct, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: Still a Unipolar World By: George Friedman Date: 18 october 2022 "In recent weeks, Russian President Vladimir Putin has said the United States is trying to impose a new world order, one designed to control Russia, China and Europe, as well as the lesser powers of the world. It’s tempting to write it off as the ranting of a leader at war,...
16 Oct, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: A New Command for the Same War By: George Friedman Date: 11 October 2022 "A few days ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin decided to replace the military commander in charge of the Ukraine war with Gen. Sergei Surovikin, and thus change the military culture of the conflict itself. It was an important move but not necessarily for the...
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