Sta Hungry Stay Foolish

Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

A blog by Leon Oudejans
Tag:

Truth

When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?

The statement above is usually (mis)attributed to economist John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946). Many - if not most - facts are time-boxed. A famous example is the 1609 controversy on heliocentrism: does the Earth rotate around the Sun (eg, Galileo Galilei) or vice versa (ie, the Roman Catholic Church)? Not changing your mind when the facts change, reveals the existence...

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Is democracy only a democracy when your party wins?

The Brazilian opposition leader won the first round of the 2022 general election (ie, 48% vs 43%). However, news articles and comments are suggesting that he - and even democracy - have lost. Why? Because actual results differed from expectations. Voter polling statistics had claimed a landslide victory. The Brazilian elections are an example of two of my topics:...

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Lies, damned lies, and statistics

On 30 September 2022, the Dutch Statistics Agency reported that the average inflation over September amounted to 17,1% (CBS). It surprised me because it didn't feel that way. The Dutch Press Agency reported that this 17,1% included the October energy rate increases (ANP). Hence, my blog title. Something similar happened over the last decade: the enormous increases...

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Did China overestimate its births? Leaked data raises questions (Nikkei)

Nikkei Asia title: Did China overestimate its births? Leaked data raises questions Nikkei subtitle: Differences between official census, hacked information identified by scholar in U.S. By: IORI KAWATE, Nikkei staff writer Date: 25 September 2022 “BEIJING -- A trove of data obtained in a massive cybersecurity breach has raised questions as to whether the Chinese...

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Preaching to the converted

There are three kinds of people: (1) the ones preaching tolerance, (2) the ones preaching intolerance, and (3) the ones struggling where tolerance ends and intolerance starts. In my view, groups 1+2 are false prophets (eg, my 2016 blog) because their deeds tend to be inconsistent with their words. Prior to the 2016 US elections, Trump claimed that those elections...

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Why are people lying?

Last Saturday's blog, Men and women both lie in dating profiles, but not about the same things (Big Think), resulted in a private message. She was curious why people are lying in their dating profile because the truth will come out during the first date. I had had a similar thought but had ignored it. This topic was more difficult than I anticipated given the (very)...

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