GeoPolitical Futures: China and the Philippines By: George Friedman (eg, Wiki)Date: 10 January 2023 "Last week, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited President Xi Jinping in China, where they agreed to cooperate in peace and security operations and in developing gas and oil deposits in the South China Sea. On the surface, this seems like a routine...
Taiwan
Taiwan: identity vs Power
16 Dec, 2022
Early December 2022, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. or TSMC announced to increase its investment in an American Arizona plant from US$ 12 billion to US$ 40 billion (eg, Market Watch, Reuters, TSMC), "one of the largest foreign direct investments in the history of the United States." While this story is a success for American reshoring efforts, it will also...
The Future of US-China Relations (GPF)
20 Nov, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: The Future of US-China Relations By: George Friedman Date: 15 November 2022 "Earlier this week, the G-20 summit opened in Indonesia, during which the long-awaited meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping took place. That they met at all means the meeting was a success. That it was three hours long is...
Negotiations (GPF)
13 Nov, 2022
GeoPolitical futures title: Negotiations By: George Friedman Date: 8 November 2022 “The United States has asked Ukraine to be open to negotiations with Russia, according to a report that was likely carefully leaked by U.S. officials. Since no one in the U.S. administration is denying the report, it’s meant to be taken seriously by the Ukrainians. (Considering that...
The human cycle of Change
24 Oct, 2022
The Universe has a simple cycle of Change: action, reaction. Essentially, this is also Isaac Newton's third Law of Motion: for every action (force) in nature there is an equal and opposite reaction (eg, NASA, Wiki). The human cycle of Change has an additional element: acceptance. The default human cycle of Change follows nature's default: deeds (ie, actions),...
From nationalism to imperialism
29 Sep, 2022
At the recent UN General Assembly, several countries accused the Russian president of imperialism (eg, 2022 invasion of Ukraine). It has been a long way for Russia: from imperialism to communism to nationalism and back to imperialism. I presume Putin will be proud of being called an imperialist. The countries accusing Russia of imperialism know what they are talking...
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