18 Sep, 2023
Until about a year ago, many articles claimed that China would surpass the USA as an (economic) SuperPower. I never believed those articles. China did and does not meet the SuperPower criteria. Today, many articles assume that USA may not be surpassed. I doubt that too. The Roman Empire was - probably - the first global empire. Alternatively, it was a multi-regional...
16 Dec, 2022
Early December 2022, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. or TSMC announced to increase its investment in an American Arizona plant from US$ 12 billion to US$ 40 billion (eg, Market Watch, Reuters, TSMC), "one of the largest foreign direct investments in the history of the United States." While this story is a success for American reshoring efforts, it will also...
4 Dec, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: Eurasia in Crisis By: George Friedman Date: 29 November 2022 “Demonstrations against Beijing’s zero-COVID policy have surged in the past week, with people voicing their frustration at not only the lockdown measures but also the government and President Xi Jinping himself. This kind of unrest is nearly unprecedented in the modern Chinese...
30 Oct, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures: Hu Jintao By: George Friedman Date: 24 October 2022 “An extraordinary thing happened in China at the final meeting of the party congress over the weekend. Hu Jintao, the previous president of China, was sitting next to President Xi Jinping when two men approached from the rear. Hu rose and appeared increasingly surprised and then alarmed. A few...
24 Oct, 2022
The Universe has a simple cycle of Change: action, reaction. Essentially, this is also Isaac Newton's third Law of Motion: for every action (force) in nature there is an equal and opposite reaction (eg, NASA, Wiki). The human cycle of Change has an additional element: acceptance. The default human cycle of Change follows nature's default: deeds (ie, actions),...
23 Oct, 2022
GeoPolitical Futures title: Still a Unipolar World By: George Friedman Date: 18 october 2022 "In recent weeks, Russian President Vladimir Putin has said the United States is trying to impose a new world order, one designed to control Russia, China and Europe, as well as the lesser powers of the world. It’s tempting to write it off as the ranting of a leader at war,...
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