Sta Hungry Stay Foolish

Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

A blog by Leon Oudejans


Climate warming, energy transition and geopolitics

Russia is (allegedly) looking for money to pay for its war against Ukraine (eg, Forbes-2022-03, FP-2022-07, Telegraph-2022-09, Bloomberg-2023, FT-2023). Russian cash flow is hindered by a mild 2022/23 winter and geopolitical events (eg, 2022 Russian oil price cap, and EU natural gas price cap). European climate warming was predicted decades ago (eg, Milankovitch...

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Are Money and Politics decoupling?

While British politics is still pro-Brexit, a majority of British voters now regret Brexit (eg, the Times). German politics is now open to seize Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine (eg, Bloomberg). China's political slogan of common prosperity is often nicknamed as common poverty due to its loss of wealth. Russian billionaires are dropping dead, like overheated...

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The State of Play in Ukraine (GPF)

GeoPolitical Futures title: The State of Play in Ukraine By: George Friedman (eg, Wiki) Date: 27 December 2022 "The war in Ukraine seems permanent. Neither side appears capable of destroying the opposing force or articulating what it would take to reach a peace agreement. The Russians are speaking to Belarus, India and anyone else they might find, but no one can...

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Ukraine War Has Split Russia Into Five Tribes (Bloomberg)

Bloomberg title: Ukraine War Has Split Russia Into Five Tribes Bloomberg subtitle: Vladimir Putin has shattered an already weak and contradictory post-Soviet identity. Opinion by: Leonid Bershidsky Date: 15 December 2022 "It’s a rare year that completely reshapes your national identity, and 2022 has been such a year for Russians. The war on Ukraine launched by...

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Peace Accords (GPF)

GeoPolitical Futures title: Peace Accords By: George Friedman Date: 6 December 2022 "Russia has accepted Washington’s invitation to engage in peace talks over the war in Ukraine. Both, of course, have reservations. Russia’s is that it needs to continue to hold territory in Ukraine, America’s is that it needs to make sure Russia surrenders its territory in Ukraine....

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Eurasia in Crisis (GPF)

GeoPolitical Futures title: Eurasia in Crisis By: George Friedman Date: 29 November 2022 “Demonstrations against Beijing’s zero-COVID policy have surged in the past week, with people voicing their frustration at not only the lockdown measures but also the government and President Xi Jinping himself. This kind of unrest is nearly unprecedented in the modern Chinese...

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