Sta Hungry Stay Foolish

Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

A blog by Leon Oudejans
Tag:

Risk management

Bye bye, American pie

Recently, I noticed a very intriguing question: Will the world keep buying US Treasuries? (eg, PS-2025, State Street-2024). Following Trump-2025, I actually doubt that - a lot. For early indications, see this recent WSJ article: “Trump’s Tariffs Were Supposed to Boost the Dollar. Why the Opposite Happened. Worries that long-term U.S. growth will fade could matter...

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How many enemies can you have??

Trump is creating new enemies every single day. Some day, they will realise an ancient proverb: the enemy of my enemy is my friend, “which suggests that two parties can or should work together against a common enemy.” I doubt Trump cares about friendly nations. Retaliatory measures (eg, by Canada) against USA will only “prove” Trump’s point: friendly nations do...

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Ukraine negotiations a Russian victory?

The media in Russia are celebrating Trump's proposal for peace negotiations on Ukraine (eg, Newsweek, the Independent, the Moscow Times), and view this as positive and even as a victory. I suppose their view is an example of reverse psychology given the many negative comments in Europe and in Ukraine. I suppose the Russian president will fear the outcome of such...

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Every disadvantage has its advantage

Soon, Trump’s USA will negotiate with Russia about peace in Ukraine. Some European countries want - rather than need - to participate in such negotiations. However, not participating has more advantages than disadvantages. My explanation is important because everything follows Why. Successful negotiations will be claimed by its “parents”. Unsuccessful negotiations...

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Een gekozen president

Recentelijk vroeg ik me af of Amerika het bewijs levert dat een direct gekozen federale President niet werkt. Het volk kan dan elke idioot kiezen. Europa heeft - gelukkig - een indirect gekozen “federale” voorzitter (“president”). Ik neem de Amerikanen weinig kwalijk. Een duidelijke meerderheid koos voor deze man. Ze plukken nu de - al dan niet wrange - vruchten van...

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‘Verschrikkelijk’ Amerikaans handelstekort is juist een privilege (FD)

Intro LO: Dit FD artikel is gebaseerd op logica en ratio. Echter, Donald Trump is een man van emoties, inclusief blufpoker. Kortom, dit FD artikel biedt nauwelijks oplossingen en geeft vooral aan wie het meest te verliezen heeft. Bovendien heeft het Zuid-Amerikaanse land Colombia recent reeds aangetoond dat wederzijdse blufpoker kansloos is bij Trump (o.a. NOS). De...

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