GeoPolitical Futures title: The Beginning of a New Era By: George Friedman Date: 3 May 2022 “A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200 years. In the last century, these shifts took place roughly 30-40 years apart with the last occurring in 1991, or about 30 years ago. That year,...
4 May, 2022
Early 2022, China urged the West not to raise interest levels as countries (read: China) were still recovering from Covid-19 (eg, Barron's, CNN). Since March, the Fed has warned markets that it may raise US interest by even 0.5%. The impact is clear: money is fleeing China. Euro, Pound and Yen are near historic lows. The Fed does not have much choice as inflation in...
22 Apr, 2022
In past centuries, Russia was invaded several times by (a.o.): Turkey (1570-1572), Poland (1609-1618), Sweden (1708-1709), France (1812), Japan (1918-1922), and Germany (1941). The roles were reversed after WW2. To date, Russia invaded Georgia (2008), Crimea and Donbas (both 2014) and Ukraine (2022). The above paragraph is an (international)...
31 Mar, 2022
Several articles express that the Western sanctions, following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, mark the end of globalization (eg, Axios). I tend to agree with that. Hence, my blog's title: what's next after globalization? See Wikipedia for illustration. To a large extent, these changes are like swing of a pendulum. This results in swings between (amongst others):...
24 Dec, 2021
Bloomberg title: From the Great Resignation to Lying Flat, Workers Are Opting OutBloomberg subtitle: In China, the U.S., Japan, and Germany, younger generations are rethinking the pursuit of wealth.By: see Note belowDate: 7 December 2021 "Around the world, millions of people are rethinking how they work and live—and how to better balance the two. The Great...
3 Nov, 2021
CNN, 31 October: "American Airlines canceled another 634 flights on Sunday, more than 12% of its total operations for the day, the company said Sunday. The airline has now canceled more than 1,500 flights since Friday, as it deals with weather issues and staffing shortages that started last week." Some media claim that vaccine mandates are causing those staffing...
- What is the “Great Replacement” right-wing conspiracy theory? (the Economist)
- Democracy might be in crisis. But Autocracy certainly is (FT)
- “I just don’t care anymore.”
- “Solitude has always been my analgesic of choice.”
- Love, Knowledge & Power and zero-sum
- The final taboo
- “Without love, life has no meaning”
- How the Ukraine War May End (GPF)
- Germany Is Rising Above History to Support Ukraine (Bloomberg)
- Pushing boundaries