11 Apr, 2022
I never thought that I would be writing this blog. I'm still hesitating. Once it's published then I will have made my final decision. I'm hesitant because of the big words that I'm using (ie, a proxy World War). It's the only way that I can classify what's going on in Ukraine. This is no longer a regional war. Let me start by explaining my choice of words: a proxy...
3 Apr, 2022
GeoPolitical futures title: The Emerging Order By: George Friedman Date: 29 March 2022 "I am writing this from Dubai, on a trip I will describe on my return to the United States. A summit was held in Israel over the weekend between Bahrain, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Morocco, Israel and the United States. The meeting was designed to back the U.S. into a...
19 Aug, 2021
Yesterday, the media questioned the American presence in Afghanistan. Today, the media are crying wolf over the chaos of the Afghanistan withdrawal. Tomorrow, the media will blame the US government(s) for its long overdue (successful) troop withdrawal. It's always the same: the media are like an eternal opposition party. I expect this approach from liberal-left...
21 Jul, 2021
The American withdrawal from Afghanistan is causing concerns amongst its immediate neighbours: China, Iran and Pakistan. Russia is no longer a neighbour of Afghanistan but the Soviet Union was. The Soviet invasion in Afghanistan lasted from 1979-1989. The Soviet withdrawal in 1989 resulted in a corridor between Afghanistan and China. A map shows the various Afghan...
4 Jan, 2020
"On 28 June 1914, the Austro-Hungarian heir Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated in Sarajevo, leading to the July Crisis. In response, on 23 July Austria-Hungary issued an ultimatum to Serbia. Serbia's reply failed to satisfy the Austrians, and the two moved to a war footing. A network of interlocking alliances enlarged the crisis from a bilateral issue in the...
19 Sep, 2019
One of my favourite movies is Kingdom of Heaven (IMDb), albeit for different reasons than you might expect. The movie shows several historic events besides the Crusades: the weakening of the Sasanian Empire of Iran (Persia), the rise of Islam, and the fall of the Golden Age of Islam. This 2005 movie changed my perspective on that region. Wiki:...
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