Within days after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Europe and USA have shown many efforts resulting in an economic and financial decoupling from Russia. Before, many opinions did not believe that such a decoupling from China or Russia was possible (eg, FP-2022). These opinions were proven wrong.
In my view, the European and US decoupling from Russia is a also warning to China: do not invade Taiwan. The Chinese economic pleas, remarks and warnings suggest that China cannot afford a decoupling.
Hence, many opinions state that China is closely monitoring the Russian invasion of Ukraine and its aftermath. These opinions argue that this monitoring is related to China considering an invasion of Taiwan. I agree.
Recently, Bloomberg published this article: “To Punish Putin, the World Turned Finance Into a Weapon of War“. Its subtitle stated: “Russia’s central bank became the main target on a front that could crater the country’s economy.” Before, wars were fought with soldiers, planes and tanks, like Russia in Ukraine.
If and when the international decoupling from Russia remains effective then this decoupling will become a template for any future military conflict, including a Chinese invasion of Taiwan..
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has shown that it’s about aligning deeds, words and intentions. Hence, NATO must no longer stand for No Action Talk Only. Like businesses prevent customers and/or suppliers from becoming too powerful, countries must do the same (eg, energy independence).
Even if this war would last short then its geopolitical consequences will last for decades or even centuries.
Latter would be the case if a Federal Republic of the United States of Europe would emerge from this crisis. National identity is a nice thing to have but does not win a war. Power does.
The Final Countdown (1986) by Europe
artists, lyrics, video, Wiki-1, Wiki-2
Note: all markings (bold, italic, underlining) by LO unless in quotes or stated otherwise.
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