Several days ago, former UKIP leader Nigel Farage stated: “I think if we had a second referendum on EU membership, we’d kill (the issue) off for a generation. The percentage that would vote to leave next time would be very much bigger than it was last time round and we may just finish the whole thing off and Blair can disappear off into total obscurity.” (CNN)
Apparently, Nigel Farage is of the opinion that the current chaos in the UK isn’t enough to guarantee a British exit from the European Union. I have some sympathy for his feeling – albeit from a different perspective. My blogs on Mrs May’s Machiavellian Moves come to a similar conclusion: the UK will not leave the EU although Brexit might – formally – continue.
It’s interesting that Nigel Farage claims that the Brexit voter turnout was too low to give a decisive outcome on Leave vs Remain. I fully agree. I disagree with his reasoning that Leave would benefit from a higher voter turnout. The opposite is probably true and Farage must know this.
Out of an electorate of 46,501,241 people, 72.2% or 33,573,896 people casted a vote, including 26,033 rejected ballots. Leave won with 17,410,742 votes (or 51.9%). Remain lost with 16,141,241 votes (or 48.1%). 27.8% or 12,923,225 people did not vote. Source: BBC. It’s unlikely that many Leave activists would not have voted given this unique opportunity.
It’s much more likely that a higher than 72.2% voter turnout would have benefited Vote Remain. These people did not vote for various reasons, like the oxymoron of a binding consultative referendum, the perceived impossibility of a Vote Leave. Obviously, a 2nd referendum would not benefit from the false promises of Vote Leave (eg, Brexit bill, NHS funding, UK economy).
Given the above, it’s valid questioning Farage‘s motives for proposing a 2nd Brexit referendum. Based on Nigel Farage’s alliance with Donald Trump, his main motive is likely to be similar: creating (more) disruption, chaos and destruction (my blog 1, blog 2, blog 3).
It’s unlikely that Mrs May would survive the outcome of a 2nd Brexit referendum. Either Vote Leave supporters in her Cabinet would take over – or Labour. Labour would create perfect chaos as its leader is even more clear on his position about the tainted love between the UK and the US than on the tainted love between the UK and the EU (the Times).
Nigel Farage‘s proposal for a 2nd Brexit referendum will be welcomed by Vote Remain, and questioned by Vote Leave. It is truly Machiavellian as the end justifies the means. The end is creating disruption, chaos and destruction. The Why follows from Who is benefitting from the chaos. In May 2017, a German interviewer came (too) close (eg, Independent).
“The moment there is suspicion about a person’s motives, everything he does becomes tainted.”
A quote by Mahatma Gandhi (1869-1948)
Tainted Love (1964) by Soft Cell (1981)
artists, lyrics, video, Wiki-1, Wiki-2
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